StatSheet Projects Gonzaga as NCAA Tournament Bubble Team 10 Seed: 02/07/2012

Filed under StatSeed Update on February 7th, 2012
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet now projects Gonzaga as an NCAA Tournament bubble team with a possible 10 seed. The Bulldogs are unranked in the AP Poll and sit at #31 in the StatSheet StatRank with an 18-4 overall record and an 8-2 record in the West Coast.

Over the last four games, Gonzaga was steady with wins against Pepperdine, Portland, and San Diego but also struggled with a loss against RPI #43 Brigham Young.

Gonzaga is weak against top competition, with a 4-4 record against the RPI Top 100 but an 0-4 record against the RPI Top 50 and an 0-2 record against AP ranked teams. The Bulldogs have a single quality win against RPI #45 Oral Roberts with no bad losses to speak of.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Ole Miss (14-8, 4-4 SEC, StatRank #52), Minnesota (17-7, 5-6 Big Ten, StatRank #50), NC State (17-7, 6-3 ACC, StatRank #58), and Notre Dame (15-8, 7-3 Big East, StatRank #55).

The first four teams out are Brigham Young (20-6, 8-3 West Coast, StatRank #46), Colorado (16-7, 8-3 Pac 12, StatRank #66), New Mexico (19-4, 5-2 Mountain West, StatRank #41), and Texas (15-9, 5-6 Big 12, StatRank #71).

The next four out are Arizona (16-8, 7-4 Pac 12, StatRank #65), LSU (13-9, 3-5 SEC, StatRank #70), Pittsburgh (15-9, 4-7 Big East, StatRank #63), and Purdue (15-8, 5-5 Big Ten, StatRank #62).

Regional 1
#1Kentucky
#2Baylor
#3Duke
#4Florida State
#5Michigan
#6Indiana
#7Connecticut
#8Alabama
#9Colorado State
#10Gonzaga
#11Arkansas
#12Minnesota
#13Long Beach State
#14Akron
#15Davidson
#16Bucknell
#17MVSU
Regional 2
#1Missouri
#2Florida
#3Georgetown
#4Marquette
#5Mississippi State
#6Louisville
#7Creighton
#8Iowa State
#9Harvard
#10Illinois
#11California
#12NC State
#13MTSU
#14Cleveland State
#15Nevada
#16Long Island
#17Norfolk State
Regional 3
#1Ohio State
#2Kansas
#3Michigan State
#4Murray State
#5San Diego State
#6Saint Mary's
#7Temple
#8Seton Hall
#9Memphis
#10Miami (FL)
#11Kansas State
#12Notre Dame
#13Ole Miss
#14Iona
#15VCU
#16Mercer
#17Stony Brook
Regional 4
#1Syracuse
#2North Carolina
#3Southern Miss
#4UNLV
#5Virginia
#6Wisconsin
#7West Virginia
#8Vanderbilt
#9Northwestern
#10Wichita State
#11Saint Louis
#12St. Joseph's (PA)
#13Oral Roberts
#14Washington
#15Weber State
#16UNCA
#17Texas-Arlington

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East8 1650.0%
Big Ten8 1266.7%
SEC7 1258.3%
ACC6 1250.0%
Big 125 1050.0%
Mountain West3 837.5%
A-103 1421.4%
Missouri Valley2 1020.0%
West Coast2 922.2%
C-USA2 1216.7%
Pac 122 1216.7%
Horizon1 1010.0%
MEAC1 137.7%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
America East1 911.1%
Big South1 119.1%
Patriot1 812.5%
WAC1 812.5%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Summit League1 1010.0%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Big Sky1 911.1%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
CAA1 128.3%
MAC1 128.3%
Southland1 128.3%
MAAC1 1010.0%
SoCon1 128.3%
NEC1 128.3%
Big West1 911.1%

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West Coast Standings

OverallConf
1 Saint Mary's 27-6 14-2
 2Gonzaga 26-7 13-3
3 Brigham Young 26-9 12-4
4 LMU 21-13 11-5
5 San Francisco 20-14 8-8
6 San Diego 13-18 7-9
7 Pepperdine 10-19 4-12
8 Portland 7-24 3-13
9 Santa Clara 8-22 0-16
Last updated: Apr 7th, 2012

2011-2012 Roster

#5 Gary Bell Fr G 6-1 205
#2 Marquise Carter Sr G 6-4 178
#35 Sam Dower So C 6-9 248
#3 Kyle Dranginis Fr G 6-5 175
#20 Elias Harris Jr F 6-7 240
#30 Michael Hart Jr G 6-6 206
#25 Mathis Keita So G 6-5 200
#10 Guy Landry Edi Jr F 6-6 218
#22 M. Monninghoff So F 6-7 189
#13 Kelly Olynyk Jr F 7-0 238
#4 Kevin Pangos Fr G 6-1 180
#00 Robert Sacre Sr C 7-0 260
#14 Chris Sarbaugh Fr G 6-3 195
#15 Ryan Spangler Fr F 6-8 232
#11 David Stockton So G 5-11 152